TLDR: I conditionally support the compensation piece - dependent on satisfactory loan details - but I do not support the investment piece as it currently is.
This $10m+ proposal is significantly lacking in detail for GnosisDAO members to make an informed decision, an absolutely must for good governance.
The total cost & maximum exposure for this proposal (in $ current market prices) is $10.8m (excluding the extras in the last ‘Future…’ chunk which can not be priced as they have no details). This is over 4x the current market cap of Agave.
- $3.6m is for direct compensation to lenders who lost money
- $3.7m is a loan (with no details provided) to help Agave compensate lenders who lost money
- $1.7m to $3.5m is for an investment of 24% to 47% (circulating supply) purchased for a roughly 46% premium on current market price
We all have to ask ourselves if this significant total $ this proposal asks for is a judicious use of Treasury funds.
THE COMPENSATION PIECE
I like that we are sticking to the roughly 50% direct contribution from GnosisDAO for the compensation.
I am ok with loaning Agave the balance to get to the 80% threshold for compensation. I prefer this to that being covered by the investment piece as in the previous proposal. It makes a cleaner break between the compensation and the investment pieces
However, there really needs to be a high level description of the terms and conditions for this loan. Will any collateral be posted? Is there any guarantors? What is the schedule and conditions for repayment? Under what conditions can we recall the loan? What is the interest rate? What happens under default?
We cannot make an informed decision without knowing the details of this loan.
At current market prices, this piece will cost us $3.6m in GNO and we will be making a loan of $3.7m (it’s not stated the makeup of this loan).
Assuming the loan details are satisfactory, I would support this compensation piece.
THE INVESTMENT PIECE
As a proposal for investment, this piece is significantly lacking in information for GnosisDAO to evaluate the opportunity. What’s our objectives? What’s our rationale? What’s our exit plan? What are the risks? What due diligence has been done or will be done on the team? What’s the timeline for the investment, are there any prerequisites? What are the cyber and op sec protections for these funds & will gnosisDAO be represented on the multi sig? How will we use our significant governance power? How will this investment be used? What reporting will be provided to GnosisDAO on progress towards objectives? What’s Agave’s strategy to become the dominant money market on GC? How will they compete against AAVE if it comes to GC? Do they have a multi chain ambition?
These are all basic questions we’d need answered to make an informed decision.
That aside, I am now less comfortable with this as a straight investment. I’m ok with use taking a small stake (perhaps 10%) to help Agave get back on it’s feet and for us to take on some risk for potential upside, with a plan for Agave to buy it back once they’re stable enough.
However, taking a large stake exposes us to a significant conflict of interest and reduces the attractiveness of the chain to money market competitors. The incentives become skewed; if we are so vested in the success of Agave it is rational for us to tilt the playing field in their favor and against competitors in future decisions.
The first test of this will be the refined proposal for Hundred finance. If we don’t offer a roughly comparative investment proposal, this bias will already have been demonstrated.
This makes Agave very centralised. We basically control the protocol if we take the full amount available (which seems likely).
Yes, we want to have thriving and secure money markets protocol on GC, but no we don’t want a pseudo nationalised approach that squashes competition and makes small AGVE holders irrelevant in governance.
At current market prices, this piece will involve an investment of between $1.7m and $3.5m.
The price premium (in eth) we would be paying over market price at approx 46% is also too high for me. This has gone up since the first proposal (unless I have done my sums wrong, please correct me if so).
I currently do not support this piece.
GOOD GOVERNANCE
From a good governance view, this should be 2 separate proposals. One for compensation to lenders and one for the investment in Agave.
I see logistically it is easier & quicker to put into one but there are 2 distinct objectives and stakeholders that are targeted, and by wrapping them into one proposal, you don’t allow GnosisDAO members to hold different views on the compensation for lenders who lost money vs the investment into Agave. I would be forced to vote NO on this proposal as it is despite supporting compensation.
I’m not sure what the “Future GnosisDAO partnership…” section is for? By passing this proposal are we giving uncapped carte blanche to spend on these items? Will these be put to future vote? The AGVE token buybacks looks particularly concerning. With such little detail we cannot have an informed opinion on here.
In a proposal like this you need to be very clear on what is being proposed and voted on, what is provided for extra information and potential future options and what is not in scope.